A recent poll conducted by Trafalgar Group indicates that former President Donald Trump is currently leading by a significant margin in Iowa for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. When likely caucusgoers in Iowa were asked who they would support if the GOP caucus took place tomorrow, 49% selected Trump, which is a seven-point increase from the previous poll.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis came in a distant second with only 16% support, a figure that has remained virtually stable since the last poll in August. Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley ranked third with 8% backing, while South Carolina Senator Tim Scott and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy each received 7% support.
In the survey, former Vice President Mike Pence and North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum both garnered 4% support, and all other potential candidates received 2% support or less. The poll, taken between September 14-18, 2023, surveyed 1,079 likely GOP presidential caucusgoers and has a margin of error of +/- 2.9%.
These results align closely with a recent Fox News poll, which also showed Trump leading the pack with 46% support, DeSantis following at a distant second with 15%, and Nikki Haley in third place with 11% support.
Given these numbers, it appears that the Trump campaign and its allies are preparing an aggressive strategy aimed at further consolidating this lead. They are reportedly planning a series of appearances and advertising campaigns in Iowa, described as a “knockout punch,” to further weaken DeSantis’s campaign in the early voting states.
